#6 Dee Gordon: Fantasy Predictions for 2016
No offense to Howie Kendrick or Jimmy Rollins, but what were the Dodgers thinking when they traded Dee Gordon away before last season? Not that they (or anyone) could foresee that Dee Gordon would hit .333 for god’s sake, but still. The guy’s a lock for 40+ stolen bases and at least a decent batting average. We expected the .280-.295 range last season, but whatever.
Dee Gordon will be 28 this season, so there’s no reason to think he’ll lose any of his speed. However, we do see a bit of a drop in his stolen base production coming this year for three reasons: 1) he’s not going to hit .333, 2) his on-base percentage is not going to stay at .359, and 3) he got caught stealing 19 times in 2014 and 20 times in 2015 (catchers are more prepared for him, now).
Dee Gordon’s 205 hits and .333 average are unsustainable for another season, and his power numbers (24 doubles and 4 HR) are also not going to improve. He could actually improve in triples, but there’s too much luck in where the ball is hit, in which ballpark, etc., or that to be predictable, so we’re not going to take triples into account too much.
Dee Gordon Fantasy Stats and Indicators
One place where we do see significant room for improvement for Dee Gordon is in Runs scored. Despite hitting leadoff and leading the league in hits and leading the league in batting average and leading the league in stolen bases, Dee Gordon still only scored 88 Runs. By comparison, he scored 92 Runs with the Dodgers in 2014 with a .289 average, 29 fewer hits, and even 2 less HR. There’s no reason why Dee Gordon can’t score 100+ Runs in 2016, and as the Marlins’ lineup improves around him, we think that’s a definite possibility.