Fantasy Baseball Brass
  • Home
  • 2019 Fantasy Baseball Rankings
    • Fantasy Catcher Rankings
    • Fantasy Second Base Rankings
  • Fantasy Advice
    • How to Win in a Yahoo Fantasy Basebal League
    • Fantasy Baseball Draft Strategies >
      • Starting Pitchers
      • Batters
    • Rotisserie Draft Advice
    • Auction Draft Advice
    • Winning a 5x5 Head to Head League
    • How to Set Up a Custom Fantasy League
  • Fantasy Kit Download
  • Fantasy Baseball Brass Blog
  • Fantasy Archives
  • History of Fantasy Baseball
Fantasy Baseball 2016 > Rankings > Shortstops > Starlin Castro

#11 Starlin Castro: Fantasy Predictions for 2016

Did you know that Starlin Castro is already a three-time all-star? He doesn't even turn 26 until March, and he was the odd-man out in Chicago to make room for everyone else. Go figure...

This year, Starlin Castro is expected to be the New York Yankees' starting second baseman. Castro goes to another potent lineup in another hitter-friendly park, so there's no reason to think he won't have a terrific fantasy season in 2016.

Over his career, thus far, Castro has remained pretty consistent with his power numbers (10-14 HR, roughly 60-80 RBI). In terms of his base stealing, it looks like he's just given up trying to figure out how to read pitchers. Now that he finds himself with a station-to-station, American League team, we don't expect any more than 5 stolen bases from him again... okay, certainly no more than 10, that's for sure.

Fantasy Expectations for Starlin Castro in 2016

Let's reel this back in a bit: we don't want to set the bar too high for Starlin Castro. A lot of his success depends on guys like Mark Teixeira, Carlos Beltran, Alex Rodriguez, Brett Gardner and Jacoby Ellsbury to remain healthy... a feat that no one on Earth is willing predict. But, while even 3 of those 5 guys are in the lineup, Starlin Castro has a chance to really clean up for fantasy owners this year.
Starlin Castro Fantasy Stats and Indicators
YearAgeGPAABRH2B3BHRRBISBCSBBSOBAOBPSLGOPS
201020125506463531393153411082971.300.3470.4080.755
2011211587156749120736910662293596.307.3410.4320.773
2012221626916467818329121478251336100.283.3230.4300.753
2013231617056665916334210449630129.245.2840.3470.631
2014241345695285815433114654435100.292.3390.4380.777
201525151578547521452321169552191.265.2960.3750.671
Cubs' Shortstop, Starlin Castro
Starlin Castro is surrounded by power bats. All he has to do is get on base this year and he may be the steal of the draft among all shortstops.

Fantasy Statistical Indicators

*Low number of Runs would normally seem like an anomaly for a guy in the middle of such a powerful lineup, but given the consistency of low Runs scored, it may be accurate.
*Low number of stolen bases, low stolen base percentage of success; move to the AL with an old, slow team: expect 5 stolen bases at best.
*Consistent power numbers and power hitters all around him: may see a spike in power, but probably not more than 15-20 HR, if that.
*Career-worst in walks and his second-lowest batting average: if he was old, we'd be worried. He's 26 this year so we expect a return to the .280 range.
Looking at Castro's stats last year, we don't see how it was even possible for him to have only scored 52 Runs in 151 games (547 AB). With all those power bats around him in Chicago, he should have scored 80 Runs, at least. Having said that, he has historically scored a low number of runs, but those were for bad Cubs teams. Last year, we think, was a statistical anomaly. If the old farts in the Yankees' lineup stay even a little bit healthy, there's just no way Starlin Castro can score fewer than 75 Runs. And believe me, I wanted to say 85+, but given his strange past, we'll stick to 75+ and call anything else gravy. His other numbers: HR, RBI, average, should all stay pretty much the same. Take Starlin Castro around the 6th-10th rounds, and don't be surprised if you get him for a under $5 in an auction when everyone else forgets about him. Is he worth more than that? Yes. Will other fantasy owners remember him? No. Starlin Castro is a guy you can really sneak onto your fantasy team for next to nothing, and it may be the steal of the draft.
Fantasy Baseball Rankings 2018
Fantasy Advice
   > Rotisserie Draft Advice

   > Auction Draft Advice
   > Winning a 5x5 Head-to-Head League
Our Fantasy Baseball Blog

CONTACT US
Follow us on Twitter @brassbaseballs

Follow Fantasy Baseball Brass on Google+

Follow the Boss of the Brass, Justin Moreau on Google+

Email us and let us know your rankings!
Photo used under Creative Commons from dougandme